USSR 1991

Page 266

"Have you heard of the butterfly effect? ​​Comrade Pavlov. A butterfly flapping its wings can cause a storm." Yanayev turned his head and said with a smile, "And what I have to do now is to make that butterfly Flap your wings."

"So will something happen in the end?" Pavlov asked curiously.The only thing he can think of is that Il 96 can generate more profits and play an important role in government revenue.

"If possible, the emergence of the Il-96 will further crowd out Boeing's market. Even if the Boeing 777 is successful, the price of the new Il-30.00 that is comparable to it may be more than [-]% cheaper. This is for Boeing. In other words, the blow is fatal. We will not let go of any opportunity to hit all walks of life in the United States."

Although the introduction of the new version of Il-96 may only have an impact on the aerospace industry.But once Boeing fails in the Boeing 777 gamble, the chain reaction will make everyone dumbfounded.Think about the future of China's civil aviation market, including Air China, China Eastern Airlines, China Southern Airlines, etc., when most of the aircraft are Soviet Il models, how Boeing and Airbus will grit their teeth.

"We are really the enemies of the United States." Pavlov said with emotion.He didn't expect Yanayev to think so far-reachingly. The new model of Il-96 was born to crowd out Boeing's market.

"Is there any result in Japan? Hashimoto Ryutaro should have discussed this matter with his cabinet think tanks." Yanayev turned his head and asked.

"No reply yet. It seems that Hashimoto Ryutaro has been delaying the time. But now there is a problem, that is, if Japan really encounters economic difficulties as Yanayev expected, then they will still have extra financial resources to invest in the Far East. Project?" This was the question that Pavlov was most concerned about, because without money, it meant that the plan to win Japan into the Far East would not work at all.

Yanayev replied, "The Soviet Union will provide Japan with a loan if Japan is in economic difficulties."

Yanayev's move can be seen as a timely help, or as a worsening situation.

Yanayev explained, "The loans we provide to Japan are purposeful. One of them is to woo the other party to join the Far East development project, so that the loan will eventually return to us. The Soviet Union just used the power of Japanese companies to complete the infrastructure construction of the Far East Development. Second, this loan to Japan is limited, and it is also aimed at the relationship between Japan and the United States, so it depends on Japan’s final decision. What is the attitude? If Hashimoto Ryutaro or the next Keizo Obuchi knows the current affairs, Japan and the Soviet Union will be in a win-win situation. If the Japanese Prime Minister is not aware of the current affairs, this loan will be even worse."

Yanayev turned his head, looked at the new model that was still in its infancy, and muttered to himself, "Unfortunately, the Il new model project will not be completed until next year, and the commercial aircraft test will take another half a year, otherwise When the Japanese delegation visits the Far East, they can use the new Il model to receive them. However, during this period of time, they can only use the improved Il-96 to compete with Boeing. When the new model is mass-produced, Boeing should wait Crying. We have two equally excellent models, and we don’t know whether customers will choose Boeing or Il.”

Chapter 591 Provoking Contradictions

In the end, the issue of the laying of the oil pipeline project ended with the respective concessions between the Soviet Union and Japan, and the Soviet Union agreed to build a branch pipeline.And Japan will pay 30.00% of the construction cost for this pipeline.And the Soviet Union promised that this pipeline would exclusively provide oil supplies to Japan.In this way, Japan agreed to the Soviet Union's next cooperation project.

The arduous negotiations were finally over, and both Yanayev and Hashimoto Ryutaro breathed a sigh of relief at the same time, and toasted the new cooperation between the Soviet Union and Japan.

However, the actions of the Soviet Union and Japan caused dissatisfaction among two countries. One was the United States, which wanted to be the hegemon of the world, and the other was Saudi Arabia, an oil-exporting country.Saudi Arabia, which was planning to sign crude oil transportation with Japan, found that this time Japan reduced its previous oil imports by 20.00%, because the oil cooperation project between Japan and the Soviet Union led to a decrease in Saudi revenue.

Not only that, Saudi Arabia has already sensed the new trend of the Soviet Union. It not only provides natural gas to European countries, but also uses the resources of the Far East to actively explore the Asia-Pacific market. For Middle Eastern countries, this is simply a nightmare.

This is not a good thing for the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries. After all, the Soviet Union's oil exports after 1991 have been far inferior to the output of the exporting countries due to various relations.However, according to Yanayev’s current means, it is clearly preparing to revive a resource-rich country. Taking advantage of the continuous rise in oil prices after the 90s, he quickly accumulated capital for the Soviet Union and carried out industrial adjustments to adapt to the post-reform economic framework faster.Once the Soviet Union recovers, let alone President Mario, even Roosevelt will be afraid.

That's why the small actions between the United States and its allies are becoming more and more frequent, especially after Turkey suffered a hidden loss in Cyprus, the United States began to carry out some small means to hinder the actions of the Soviet Union.Using financial means to put pressure on Japan is the fastest way, because Japan's current debt is so high that it is like a crumbling tall building, which can crash to the ground with a slight push from the United States.When Japan has no funds, it will naturally not be able to intervene in projects in the Far East.

However, the purpose of the United States is not limited to this. He also wants to affect all the allies of the Soviet Union in the oil-producing countries in the Middle East, and he is too busy to take care of it, so as to stabilize his political status of petrodollars.Since the 1970s, the United States has reached an unshakable agreement with Saudi Arabia, the world's largest oil producer, to use the dollar as the sole pricing currency for oil, and it has been agreed by other members of OPEC, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries.Since then, the U.S. dollar has been closely linked to oil, and an invisible equal sign has been drawn between the two. Any country that wants to trade oil must have sufficient U.S. dollar reserves.Once the allies of the Soviet Union's oil-producing countries are finished one after another, the remaining weak Soviet Union is no opponent of the oil-producing countries at all.

"Encouraging Turkey to invade Syria? This is a very dangerous political action. And it may also be related to our actions in Iraq. Is it really worth choosing such a risky action in this sensitive period?"

When Berger's political adviser heard President Mario's explanation, he immediately became nervous. Everyone felt the pressure from the gradual revival of the Soviet Union, but he did not expect Mario to take such a risky approach.

President Mario said, "It is just to provoke a border rivalry between Turkey and Syria, and to destabilize the Assad regime. We will not have a large-scale aggression, which is secretly led by the United States, and the Saudi government is behind it." Support, and then Turkey will be a pawn. As long as there is turmoil in the Syrian government, the opposition forces within them will take advantage of the situation. Believe me, Advisor Berger. This will undoubtedly be a huge blow to the Soviet Union. In addition, every other oil-producing country that can be said to speak is on our side, and another reverse oil shock strategy is not out of the question."

"If you think about the war in Syria, what will happen to the price of oil? It will go up without any surprise. Then they will need to increase their savings in dollars to buy oil."

The benefits brought about by disrupting the situation in Iraq have begun to emerge. After the initial taste of the sweetness, in order to curb the Soviet Union's large-scale oil exports, another insurance policy has been launched.

"Since we can't prevent the Soviets from exploiting their own oil, at least we can prevent the Soviets from selling their oil. We can't stop China's move, but in the case of Japan, most of their right to speak is still tightly contained. in our hands."

"Mazier is not a fool. Turkey suffered a loss because of the Black Sea issue before. Will they believe us this time?" Berger consultant said.

"Of course I will believe it, and Mazier will definitely believe it." President Mario said with a sneer, "After all, Öcalan is hiding in the border area of ​​Syria. If the CIA has specific information about Öcalan, according to Mazyer With Er's character, he will definitely launch a war regardless of everything."

As a Turkish political strongman, Maziyer's ruthless strangulation of the PKK can be said to be heinous. Since the failure of the last rebellion, the PKK has been bloody suppressed because of Moscow's betrayal.In order to preserve its strength, the PKK armed forces commanded by Öcalan retreated to northern Iraq to accumulate strength and wait for the next counteroffensive.Moreover, after the deterioration of relations with Moscow, the situation faced by the PKK is much more difficult than before.

As the new partner, the CIA chose to betray Öcalan at this time, giving the PKK the last fatal blow.

"Yes." Advisor Berger realized at this time, "You mean to use Ocalan as a bait to provoke a border conflict between Syria and Turkey, thereby affecting the rebel forces in Syria?"

"That's it."

The excuse of attacking the PKK forces in Turkey does not seem to have any flaws.Even if Assad accuses Maziyer of his war behavior, the United States can confidently refute Syria with human rights over sovereignty.

All this is nothing more than Saudi Arabia's money and Turkey's efforts, while the United States is just enjoying the benefits.

In the end, it failed in the end, and the United States still didn't have much loss.

President Mario said proudly, "All the deployments have been prepared, and we are now waiting to see the good show. I don't know what kind of annoyed expression Yanayev will have. After all, compared to Iran, which is vacillating, Syria is the Soviet Union." A staunch ally in the Middle East."

Chapter 592 Don't bow to evil forces

Yanayev did not focus on the deal between Japan and the Soviet Union, but instead turned to the recent movements of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries. Sure enough, as Yanayev expected, OPEC announced oil production cuts before the negotiations started. News, suddenly oil prices began to rise again.Behind this, of course, lies the ambition of Saudi Arabia and other countries to attack the Soviet Union.

OPEC's unscrupulousness is entirely due to the support of petrodollars, at least no country can escape this situation now.Yanayev wants to rely on his own strength to deal with the Petroleum Exporting Organization, which is no less difficult than challenging the West alone.

Yanayev sighed, "Which country does OPEC hit the most? The answer is definitely not Europe and the United States. For them, such small-scale fluctuations are acceptable, but for a certain Asian country, production cuts It can be said to be a fatal situation. The United States is rich and powerful, and the losses caused by this kind of insidious trick of killing one thousand enemies and self-defeating one hundred can still be tolerated, but I don’t know if the Japanese economy can withstand such fluctuations. It is simply worse. Oh no, it should be said to be a shady trick to attack and contain the Soviet Union."

There have been three oil crises in history, especially the third oil crisis. After Iraq captured Kuwait in early August 1990, Iraq suffered international economic sanctions, which interrupted the supply of crude oil in Iraq, and the international oil price rose sharply to a high of 8 US dollars. point.The U.S. and U.K. economies accelerated into recession, and the global GDP growth rate fell below 42% in 1991.The International Energy Agency launched an emergency plan to put 2 million barrels of reserve crude oil on the market every day, and OPEC led by Saudi Arabia also rapidly increased production, which soon stabilized world oil prices.

For the United States, it is a wise choice to use fluctuations in oil prices to hit a country's economy.

What Yanayev should recognize most now is the current oil production issue.The proven reserves in the Middle East are 995.8 billion tons, accounting for 57.4% of the world's total proven reserves.Mainly concentrated in Saudi Arabia, Iran, Kuwait, Iraq, Qatar and Syria and other countries, the reserves of these countries amounted to 849.3 billion tons.The region's oil production accounts for 30.4% of the world's total.Among these oil-producing countries in the Middle East, quite a few are lackeys of the United States, and some are allies of the Soviet Union.

The cumulative proven oil reserves in North America are 297.6 billion tons, accounting for 17.2% of the world's total proven reserves. Among them, Canada's reserves are 245 billion tons, second only to Saudi Arabia, ranking second in the world.But Canada is the world's major producer of crude oil, but its main exporter is the United States.Of the three to four million barrels of crude oil produced in Canada per day, more than two-thirds of it is exported to the United States, and billions of dollars of foreign exchange enter Canada through crude oil exports.So for the United States, the variables in the Middle East did not have much impact on their own oil imports.

In the Soviet Union, the cumulative proven oil reserves of the CIS countries are 106 billion tons, accounting for 6.11% of the world's total proven reserves, and their oil production is 4.9 million tons, accounting for 14.5% of the world's total production.Although Canada's reserves far exceed that of the Soviet Union, the Soviet Union's oil production ranks second in the world, second only to Saudi Arabia.From this point of view, the Soviet Union can be said to be the second Saudi Arabia.Now that the oil production of the Soviet Union has been able to threaten the interests of Saudi Arabia, it is reasonable to become the target of the United States and OPEC countries.

The United States has begun to pull out the two nails of Libya and Iraq, and then there are two anti-American countries, Iran and Syria. The relationship between Iran and the Soviet Union only exists in the military alliance cooperation under the pressure of NATO, and its most important ally in the Middle East, Assad in Syria is left alone.

"I think our Syria is currently in a very dangerous situation. After all, he is the nail in the Middle East that the United States has been trying to remove." Yanayev told Primakov, an expert on Middle East issues.

Primakov explained to Yanayev, "The Soviet Union has deployed military bases in Syria, so NATO has no excuse to attack Syria directly anyway. Then the most likely situation is that they will instigate domestic opposition forces to create momentum. Then Providing weapons for a proxy war. But without outside intervention, President Assad can forcefully suppress the opposition and try to keep Syria in a dangerous dynamic balance.”

The oil-producing countries that can be talked about have been pulled out one by one by the United States, and the rest are jackals standing in the American camp.Using petrodollars is equivalent to letting the United States and its minions control the world with energy.

"If Syria and Iran also fall, what will happen to the world oil price?" Yanayev asked this question almost knowingly.

Primakov's answer was very succinct, "The oil production of the Soviet Union was manipulated and squeezed out by the energy market. will fail."

Another difficult situation.Yanayev sighed. The United States has already noticed the movement of the Soviet Union, so it will increase its efforts to get rid of all the allies of the Soviet Union. Perhaps Assad has not realized that he is in a dangerous balance.

"It's time for us to do something. We must remind Iran and Syria of the dangers they may face next. We are not sure where the US's routine is, but we must not bow to the evil forces of US imperialism."

Primakov volunteered to stand up at this time, "If possible, I will be assigned to go to Syria. Attending as a special envoy of the Soviet Union can just cover up our plan. And I can also visit the following Soviet terror airports in Syria by the way. , to remind them to be flexible. Compared with Saddam, Assad is much smoother."

Yanayev nodded, and said with some worry, "This is the only way to go now."

"Also, if there is a war, does the Soviet Union need to intervene in this war?"

This is Primakov's most critical question, because he can't guarantee whether the Soviet Union will take the opportunity to intervene if there is turmoil in Syria in the future.And how deep is the involvement, Primakov also needs to get a reply from Yanayev.

"With the consent of Assad, the Soviet Air Force can strike any armed force that violates Syria." Yanayev gave an affirmative answer.

"You tell Assad that the Soviet Union is willing to provide asylum in Syria free of charge."

Chapter 593 Visit to Syria

When Primakov visited Damascus, it happened that Hafiz Assad was in a period of physical decline. Although it has not yet fully manifested, after three years, the Lion of Damascus, who has traversed the Middle East, will Sleep forever in a heart attack.This is why Yanayev desperately needs to increase his bargaining chips in Syria.Once Hafiz passes away, the Islamic fundamentalists and the Muslin Brotherhood, who have been deprived of political rights by the Assad family, will definitely take advantage of the political instability to try to change the world.