USSR 1991

Page 129

"How serious is it? It's worse than when we were in World War I?" Demirel's tone was a little cold, as if he had no interest in the news reported by Sabahatin, he just wanted to see one As a result, the rebellion of these guys was successfully suppressed.

"I don't care what the final result is. All the Kurds involved in this incident must die." Demirel's answer was decisive, no doubt, like a dictator with supreme power, "If the suppression fails, The person in charge of this incident is waiting to be punished, do you understand what I said?"

"Obviously." Sabahatin struggled to answer, and it was the first time he had seen Demirel so angry. Perhaps the Kurdish turmoil had stimulated his nerves.Sabahati was also a little worried about whether the person in charge of the operation would be hanged on the gallows if the suppression failed.

However, Demirel on the other end of the phone is still insisting, although the blockade of the Black Sea Strait does not seem to have much effect on the Soviet Union.But he believed that the Soviet Union would surrender before himself, testing the willpower of both sides like a tug-of-war.

"Do whatever you can, Yanayev. I don't believe that Turkey will lose to you." At this time, Demirel was still gritting his teeth and insisting. He firmly believed that as long as the throat of the Black Sea Strait was tightened, the Soviet Union could be defeated. Dimensions are messed up.

But he still underestimated Yanayev's means too much, at least in Yanayev's mind, there are one hundred and one ways to end Turkey.

Chapter 2 Eighty Bitter Winter (4)

Just as Turkey was busy suppressing the Kurdish turmoil in the country, Yanayev took advantage of the fire and proposed to revise the "Montreux Convention".This is also a small conspiracy that Yanayev has accumulated for a long time. While Turkey is busy with civil strife, he will make it to death.

After the October Revolution, the Soviet Union announced the abolition of the 1915 "Secret Agreement on Constantinople and the Straits". In July 1923, Turkey signed the "Lausanne Agreement", which stipulated that all warships could freely pass through the strait in peacetime and wartime, and only limited the number and tonnage of warships.But the Soviet government did not ratify this agreement.

At the suggestion of the Turkish government, the Montreux Conference was held in 1936 to discuss the revision of the Lausanne Agreement.At the meeting, the Turkish representative strived to close the strait to warships of any country.The representative of the United Kingdom insisted that the Black Sea be regarded as an international high sea, and opposed any restrictions on the passage of warships from non-Black Sea countries through the strait.After intense debate, the Montreux Convention was signed on July 7, stipulating that Black Sea countries have the right to freely pass through the strait at ordinary times; the type, tonnage and stay time of warships sent by non-Black Sea countries into the Black Sea are restricted; warships of belligerent countries It is not allowed to pass through the strait; if Turkey participates in the war or is threatened by war, it has the right to allow or prohibit any warship from passing through the strait.

In August 1945, the Soviet Union asked Turkey to agree to establish a military base in the strait and to jointly organize the defense of the strait.However, in 8, the Turkish government announced that it rejected the request of the Soviet Union and Turkey to jointly manage the Strait.To this day, the Montreux Convention remains the current international convention on the regime of the Straits.

Although the "Montreux Convention" stipulates that the Black Sea countries have the right to freely pass through the strait at ordinary times, there are still many restrictions on warships. For example, aircraft carriers must notify Turkey in advance. A very strange ship name was created, the aviation cruiser.

Moreover, this treaty also left a tail, that is, when Turkey participates in a war or is threatened by a war, it has the right to allow or prohibit any warship from passing through the strait.In other words, Turkey has the right to close the strait during wartime. As a result, Russia's Black Sea Fleet will be completely trapped in the Black Sea, and the entire strategic situation will be very bad and passive.This is why Yanayev has always been worried about this.

Not being able to cross the Black Sea Strait means that its own fleet can only fish in the Black Sea waters. How can a country that wants to let the world feel the majestic waves of steel, let the fleet rust in the harbor.

Of course, facing the proposal of the Soviet government, Turkey flatly refused. The Black Sea Strait was the bottom line of his bargaining, so how could it be possible for people to get their hands on it.

"We need to make a deal with the Americans and let them cut off the deal with Turkey. Wasn't there a lot of news about the establishment of an anti-missile interception system in Turkey a while ago? The United States is even afraid that the whole world will know about it. said Yanayev.

If the anti-missile interception system was established between 1989 and 1991, the Soviet Union might have no choice, but in 1993, the Soviet economy began to recover slowly, and it had the confidence to say no.The United States wants to establish anti-missile interception in Turkey, unless it wants another Cuban missile crisis.

So the United States died down after a period of overwhelming reports. Yanayev knew that this was a signal from the other party. I know that the Soviet Union has something to ask of the United States. Now I am waiting for you to come to me.

In order for the Americans to let go, Yanayev must find enough equal interests to exchange with the United States, and what the United States cares most about at this time is the Iraqi issue that had made a deal with the Soviet Union.

The United States will not really be unprepared to deal with Saddam because of the termination of Operation Southern Watch.In fact, although the military is not in action, various forces of the CIA are still active on the territory of Iraq, conducting secret intelligence gathering activities.And the United States got its wish and waited until the Soviets spoke. Yanayev said that we can make a deal on the issues of Iraq and Turkey.

"We lowered our support to Saddam's government, and you also stopped your aid to Turkey, how?" Yanayev asked. Reducing support to Saddam meant that the Soviet Union would no longer assist Saddam's government forces openly. At the same time, a veto will not be exercised on the Iraqi issue, but the secret transactions between the Soviet Union and Iraq are going on as usual.

"And now you also have an excuse to send troops. Iraq does have weapons of mass destruction." Yanayev had an extensive discussion with President Mario on issues between the two countries.For the Soviet Union, the Middle East issue is a strategic interest, and further opening up the navigation rights of the Black Sea Strait is an immediate interest.Compared to playing a game of chess in the Middle East, Yanayev is more concerned about regaining the glory that has been lost for more than 100 years.

President Mario was secretly pleasantly surprised by the choice made by the Soviet Union.Syria, Iraq, and Iran in the Middle East are all allies of the Soviet Union, but Yanayev is willing to give up his allies to protect his own interests. Sure enough, the permanent members of the United Nations have the same face in private, and national interests come first.

"But the Soviet Union has another condition, that is, the United States and the Soviet Union must simultaneously test pressure on Turkey and force him to amend the Montreux Convention. Only after we achieve our goal will we give up support for the Iraqi government. This is the bottom line of our deal. .”

President Mario thought for a long time, and consulted Anthony Lake, the US National Security Advisor beside him, to analyze the feasibility of this plan.

Anthony Lake thought carefully for a while, and then said to President Mario, "It should be a very cost-effective deal. The Soviet Union is willing to give up the interests of the Middle East to preserve the current interests. It is a very wrong choice. Syria, Iran, Iraq is like a barrier protecting the Central Asian countries of the Soviet Union, but if Iraq is captured..."

"Then it is equivalent to opening a gap in the middle of this barrier, which not only divides the two allies of Syria and Iran, but can even threaten the strategic security development of Central Asian countries. Therefore, giving up a Turkish strait will gain the entire Middle East Strategic advantage, this deal is still very cost-effective.”

Hearing Lake's answer, President Mario's brows were suddenly frowned, "Theoretically speaking, the Soviet Union should not make such a low-level mistake. Things are not that simple. What are they planning..."

But in the face of such a big piece of cake, the United States really couldn't stand the temptation. After thinking about it, he agreed to Yanayev's request.He really couldn't figure out what kind of conspiracy was hidden behind such a big cake.

"A happy deal, General Secretary Yanayev." The United States also gave up the interests of its allies for Iraq, just like the Soviet Union did.

"The Americans thought they had obtained the entire Middle East, but in fact they did so and it was the beginning of their nightmare." Yanayev finally led the Americans into the chaos of the Middle East.As the Soviet Union analyzed, it is better to lure the other party to make mistakes actively than to adopt a long-term confrontation with the United States.

Long-term confrontation is just passively waiting for the other party to make mistakes, but luring the other party to make mistakes can take the initiative.

The biggest mistake the United States made in the early 21st century was the terrible Iraq War. The confident political elites not only failed to establish a stable pro-American regime in the Middle East, but even triggered a wave of anti-Americanism.

After those who tried democracy were disappointed by liberalism, Islamic religious forces continued to heat up in the Middle East.America's failures on strategic issues spilled over into domestic economic issues.Although the high-level government and the interest groups behind them have made a lot of money through oil futures and arms trade, the downturn in the domestic economy has also exacerbated the widening gap between the rich and the poor.

From the perspective of the current interests of the United States, he is the ultimate winner, but from a historical perspective, the wishful thinking of the United States has failed and it has suffered heavy losses.

Unless there is another Reagan-style figure in the United States, the next president will be worse than the last one. As for whether Trump will come to power by 2015?Yanayev said that he very much hopes that Trump can be the last straw that crushes the US economy and politics.

"The corrupt and incompetent democracy established after the overthrow and the poor development of the national economy are my goals. You cheated the Soviet Union once on the Afghan issue, and the Soviet Union will also reward you once on the Iraqi issue." Yanaye Husband's Middle East chess game is gradually improving, and the United States is finally ready to take the initiative to step into the trap.

Chapter 281 The Bitter Winter (5)

Just as the Turkish government's anti-Soviet rhetoric was rampant, a bad news suddenly came from Washington.President Mario said that the anti-missile system is being maintained and upgraded, and it is temporarily inconvenient to provide it to the Turkish government.Then U.S. Secretary of State Warren made a speech in front of the news media, saying that the downing of the Soviet fighter jet was only an incident between Turkey and the Soviet government, and had nothing to do with the United States. Washington maintained a neutral attitude.

This is equivalent to when Demirel was gearing up to start the "Winter is Coming" dungeon, but there was news that his teammates were offline and asked you. After all, Turkish Defense Minister Sabahatien could directly say that as long as the Soviet Union The fighter jets once again invaded Turkish airspace, and it will attack it without hesitation.

Demirel hurriedly wanted to contact the White House, but the other party turned a deaf ear to Turkey's request, which was completely different from the previously agreed script.The United States will respect the Soviet Union's approach and support it to a certain extent.

This practice of crossing the river and demolishing bridges is already very obvious. After receiving the promise of the Soviet Union, the United States did not hesitate to betray the Turkish government, and even colluded with the Soviet Union to deal with Turkey.And Türkiye has a feeling of being sold and helping count the money.

"These bastards are simply shameless." Demirel said angrily. Turkey has suffered enough humiliation these days. From the revenge of the Soviet Union to the betrayal of the United States, a series of disasters have caused Turkey Finally realized that they are not the opponents of the five hooligans at all, and they can even use it as a bargaining chip for their own interests.

Things have come to this point, and Demirel cannot admit defeat. If he bows to the Soviet Union at this time, then Demirel will not only become the laughing stock of the world, but will also be further threatened by the Soviet Union.Of course, Turkey is now in a situation where misfortunes never come singly. Just when he thought that the Soviet Union had exhausted its mechanisms, Yanayev made another move, which completely plunged Turkey into a desperate move.

This time, Prime Minister Pavlov of the Soviet Union visited Turkey's neighboring countries and had a friendly meeting with Bulgarian President Zheliu Zhelev.Bulgaria, which used to belong to the sphere of influence of the Soviet Union, is still shrouded in the shadow of redism, so for the visit to the Soviet Union, Zhelev had to put on a gesture of acceptance.

"I know that President Zhelev has been troubled by one thing recently. It must be a lot of pressure from the UK." Pavlov lowered his voice and said to Bulgarian President Zhelev.He raised his head and blinked his eyes, implying that I know everything about you.

"I don't have any pressure. The British are just talking nonsense." Zhelev smiled and said casually.Although he pretended to be calm, his heart was turbulent, wondering why those secrets directly alarmed the Soviet high-level.

The recent headache for the Bulgarian government is the Markov political murder case. Although it was a criminal case that occurred in 1978, the British government, which settled accounts after the autumn, did not let Bulgaria go. Instead, it directly proposed to the Bulgarian government to arrest and extradite the suspect. requirements.

The political murder of Markov was an unsolved case during the Cold War. On September 1978, 9, Georgi Markov, a Bulgarian dissident writer in exile in the United Kingdom, was killed by a "passer-by" on the streets of London with an umbrella Jian accidentally stabbed, and then died of poisoning.The case is one of the strangest and most mysterious murders of the Cold War.

On September 9 this year, the British ambassador to Denmark, Richard Thomas, and the Danish ambassador to the UK met with Bulgarian President Zhelev, and pressured President Zhelev to explain the Umbrella murder and provide criminal suspects. People, that is, the news of the Bulgarian intelligence spy Julio.

Although the Bulgarian authorities said why should I listen to the British government, the political pressure exerted by the British government on Bulgaria is not small.

"If we support the Bulgarian government behind our backs, the UK will have no excuse to settle accounts with you. After all, they don't care too much about the life and death of a Bulgarian writer, do they?"

Pavlov made a promise to Zhelev, while observing the expression of the other party, seeing that the other party did not have any obvious repulsive attitude, but listened with interest to him to continue talking.Pavlov continued, "We can help Bulgaria deal with the pressure from the UK, but you have to do us a small favor as well."

"What a small favor?" President Zhelev became vigilant, and he knew that things were not as simple as he imagined, and there must be an ulterior conspiracy hidden behind the good intentions of the Soviets.

"We are going to build a canal starting from the Black Sea, crossing Bulgaria and Greece, and reaching the Mediterranean Sea, so as to get rid of the Soviet Union's own dependence on the Black Sea Strait. Such a huge project involving three countries is naturally impossible for one country to complete independently. And we also need to collect other countries' attitudes towards this project."

After hearing what Pavlov said, Zhelev was a little at a loss. He thought that the other party was making an international joke and building a canal that runs through three countries. Not to mention the huge amount of the project, even other countries would agree. There are pros and cons to this project.Turkey, in particular, will surely become the country with the strongest opposition.

Just imagine what a tragic existence the Black Sea Strait, which has lost its strategic value due to the excavation of the canal, would be. President Demirel dared not even think about it.If such a practical engineering canal is opened, then the Black Sea will really become a back garden swimming pool of the Soviet Union.

"If such a canal is dug, it will definitely be a project that will affect the world." Zhelev was stunned by his fantasy scene, just thinking about the annual income of such a canal?It can almost swallow up all the shipping volume at the throat of the Black Sea, and the Bulgarian government will be able to earn a lot of money from the revenue brought by this canal alone.

When that time really comes, Turkey will really become a tragic country, and the Black Sea navigation routes in its hands will become things of no economic value.

"However, I still have a question. How to distribute the pre-construction costs and benefits of such a canal? Such a huge project cannot be completed just by talking about it." Regarding what Pavlov said, Zhelev also held A skeptical thought.